2023 marked a significant year for artificial intelligence (AI), witnessing monthly launches of new tools, field advancements, and upgrades. Amidst these developments, overhyped predictions of the imminent AGI achievement or AI job dominance surfaced. However, these predictions could just be exaggerated or it might also come true in the coming years.
AI Replacing Jobs
There is a prevalent idea that AI is rapidly replacing jobs, particularly in fields like writing and programming. Howevver, findings from The State of AI in 2023 study, based on responses from individuals involved in AI initiatives across about 350 organizations, reveals a net increase in headcount by 37% over the past year, with an anticipated net increase of 60% in the next 12 months.
Only 17% reported a reduction in headcount, and merely 3.5% attributed this to AI as the primary reason, suggesting that immediate job loss due to AI may be overestimated.
Despite claims that AI has displaced jobs, with 14% of workers experiencing such displacement, and reports from 37% of business leaders stating AI replaced workers in 2023, there is a counter-narrative. Many believe that AI is facilitating a restructuring of jobs, emphasizing the continued need for human involvement in guiding AI, interpreting results, and taking action.
These findings underscore the importance of preparing for change and acquiring skills to navigate the evolving landscape in the age of AI. Additionally, predictions such as "AGI was already achieved" and "AI will reach human-level intelligence" are questioned for their likelihood of materializing soon, as discussed by an AI expert, challenging the validity of such overhyped claims.
People Will Lose Interest in AI
Some individuals underestimate the enduring nature of AI. While hypes may wane, a product's sustained utility ensures its continued presence. Notably, ChatGPT experienced a dip in traffic in June, prompting premature claims about the demise of chatbots and AI hype.
However, overlooking the impact of the summer break in the USA, which led to a decline in student usage, reveals a nuanced perspective. Despite a temporary slowdown to 1.4 billion worldwide visits in August, ChatGPT rebounded, reaching around 1.7 billion visits in October, showcasing its resilience.
Contrary to predictions of dwindling interest, recent data highlights the robustness of AI's popularity. In November, the OpenAI CEO reported that ChatGPT boasts 100 million weekly users and attracts over 2 million developers to its API.
This impressive growth trajectory solidifies ChatGPT as one of the fastest-growing services. While AI news coverage may fluctuate in 2024, the lasting impact of AI is evident, emphasizing its sustained relevance in the evolving landscape.
Google Surpassing ChatGPT
Media often hails new models as potential "ChatGPT killers," with Gemini Ultra being the latest contender, outperforming GPT-4 in benchmarks. Despite technical superiority, market dominance isn't guaranteed, evidenced by Google's Gemini Ultra demo controversy.
Arguments for Google surpassing ChatGPT include superior data resources, rising AI-related stock, and success in the educational market, but these points are debatable. Gemini Ultra's overhyping affected Google's credibility, past AI products fell short, and educational market dominance remains uncertain.
Tech superiority doesn't always ensure market dominance, as seen in other industries, and AI model success depends on various factors beyond technical capabilities. The evolving landscape will reveal the lasting impact of these models and their success in different market segments.
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